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2011/12 season · Sat 30 Jul 2011 2 of 5 drew

Week 5 banker room 2011

In the week 5 banker room for 2011, the strongest draw record is No. 4, Brunswick C. v Ballarat: they have not met on the coupon before, and Ballarat 50% away. 2 of the 5 on this list drew.

This week 2 of the 5 drew. Over 942 past weeks, the top five picked this way drew 26% of the time, and any match on the card drew 24%. The record helps a little; a draw is never certain.

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Strongest draw records

  1. No. 4

    Brunswick C. v Ballarat

    First meeting on the coupon. Ballarat 50% away.
    No draw 0-2
  2. No. 17

    Maribyrnong v Geelong R.

    First meeting on the coupon
    Drew 4-4
  3. No. 22

    Cockburn v Sorrento

    First meeting on the coupon. Sorrento 35% away.
    No draw 0-1
  4. No. 3

    Pascoe Vale v N. Geelong

    First meeting on the coupon. Pascoe Vale draw 36% at home.
    Drew 2-2
  5. No. 20

    Yarraville v Sydenham

    First meeting on the coupon
    No draw 2-1
The whole card by draw record
NoMatchMetDrewResult
40White City Warriors v Noarlunga00No draw 4-1
6E Altona v Geelong00No draw 3-0
5Clifton Hill v Williamstown00No draw 2-4
2Fawkner v N Sunshine00No draw 1-3
13Malvern C v Dandenong00No draw 0-1
15Keilor v Hume00No draw 3-0
16La Trobe v Avondale00No draw 1-0
23Joondalup v Stirling L.00No draw 4-2
26Dianella v Shamrock R.00No draw 0-3
27Gosnells v Forrestfield00No draw 2-5
28Morley v Wanneroo00No draw 2-4
29Rockingham v Fremantle00No draw 3-0
30Swan UTD v Bunbury00No draw 3-1
31Adelaide R. v Modbury00Drew 1-1
34Para Hills v Metro Stars00No draw 0-4
35Western S v Blue Eagles00No draw 0-2
36Ad Hills v Playford00No draw 1-0
38Cumberland v Olympic00Drew 2-2
43W Adelaide v Northern D.00No draw 4-1
48Kingborough v S Hobart00No draw 0-4
49New Town v Tilford00Drew 3-3
18Melbourne U. v Cairnlea00No draw 5-1
9Box Hill v Casey C.00Drew 1-1
41S Adelaide v Salisbury00No draw 0-2
1Altona M. v Pt. Melbourne00No draw 0-2
8Whittlesea R. v Banyule00Drew 0-0
12Heatherton v Morwell00No draw 0-3
14Noble Pk. v S. Springvale00No draw 2-5
39Pirates v Enfield00No draw 2-0
45Burnie v Launceston C00Drew 2-2
7Moreland v Altona City00No draw 1-0
10Diamond V. v Knox City00No draw 0-1
19Sunbury v Whittlesea U.00Drew 2-2
47Riverside v Prospect00No draw 1-3
42Seaford v NAB00No draw 7-3
37Comets v AD Cobras00No draw 2-0
46Devonport v Ulverstone00No draw 3-0
33Galaxy v Adelaide City10No draw 0-1
11Eastern L v Doncaster00Drew 1-1
21Armadale v Inglewood00Drew 0-0
24Knights v Perth00No draw 4-1
32Croydon v Campbelltown00No draw 0-3
44W Toros v Gawler00Drew 1-1
25Canning v Ashfield00No draw 1-5

Questions

Is this a sure banker?

No, and nobody's is. It is a record: how often these clubs drew before on the coupon. Tested on 942 past weeks, the top five on this list drew 26% of the time, against 24% for any match on the card. The record helps a little. It does not make a draw sure.

How did the week 5 list do?

2 of the 5 drew.

How is the list made?

Each match is scored on how often the same two clubs drew when they met before on the coupon, and how often each club draws from that end, home or away. A thin record is pulled towards the average, so one lucky draw cannot top the list. Every week is ranked only on coupons played before it.